But his scramble rate and designed rush rate on an admittedly tiny 86-dropback sample last year were massive. He’s a pick in the late single-digit rounds that can more or less crush a best ball team if he doesn’t wind up playing 17 games because Jimmy Garoppolo never gets moved, and he struggles enough to get benched. I talked about this on both Ship Chasing and Stealing Bananas this week, but Trey Lance both has very clear risk that is keeping his ADP in check, and also rushing upside at his price that makes him the type of upside bet we need to be comfortable with when we enter any given draft at 8.3% to win. For now, I can offer one clear target that is my favorite early play relative to ADP, an opinion reinforced by recently doing my 49ers projection for 2022. It’ll just be more like mid-July rather than mid-June, as I’d loosely targeted in talking with some of you earlier this offseason. Still, I’m deep into my projections, and that stuff is coming soon. It’s tough to release ranks in that context, where I know they won’t be battle tested in my own drafts to the degree I’d like them to be. But I’m not drafting nearly as much as many others around the industry, and I’d consider myself behind on developing opinions about the trends of 2022. The reality for me still living in a state where I can’t access Underdog is most of my drafting is comanaged on my podcasts (and hopefully if you’ve been on the lookout for something from me, you’ve been tuning into Stealing Bananas and Ship Chasing, where I’ve been doing three pods each week). I know a lot of you guys are drafting right now, but it’s always tough for me to put out stuff where I’m not sure how actionable it is.
One specific thing I wanted to have to you guys by now is some form of ranks. But I wanted to get at least one post out first. Some of that will have to wait a few more weeks as I have some long-planned vacations coming up, starting today. I do have some fun stuff I’ve been working on that I think Stealing Signals subs are going to enjoy. Given that, it’s probably not a surprise to hear it’s been stressing me out that it’s been a while since I’ve last written. If you care about what you do, it should probably feel like every one of your subscribers is another boss, something I’ve said to friends and family when trying to describe my current work situation. My experience is that glamorous thing about not having a boss cuts two ways. To some degree it’s just my psychology, and maybe some of the other content creators are just that well-adjusted or perhaps unemotional to the point of apathy - two popular personas we as humans seem to be naturally attracted to - but it’s also pretty clear the number of people who are either of those things is far lower than those who present themselves that way. Regardless, I always find these types of notes interesting coming from a different perspective I’ve shared here before where I’ve been fairly successful going off on my own, but I’ve always felt like an entrepreneur by happenstance. I understand that intuitively, but I wonder how it’s possible to be in top form at all times, and whether it’s sometimes just pushing bad content on people so there isn’t a lull in the content stream. One of the big notes from content creators is about the value of consistency.
SUPERFLEX DRAFT STRATEGY HOW TO
There are a lot of successful entrepreneurs out there these days giving advice about how to be a successful entrepreneur, too. I think most creators go through these periods, and I don’t think there’s enough honesty about it.
SUPERFLEX DRAFT STRATEGY WINDOWS
But the other part of that is I’ve had a bit of what might be called writer’s block when I did have windows to put something together. It’s been awhile since I’ve written, and part of that can be pinned on some springtime allergies that always make me feel like a zombie for a stretch, which I immediately followed up by contracting COVID here in June.
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